Black Almanak open on-chain metrics for Bitcoin ● data
Cost basis

Bitcoin: Short-Term Holder Realized Price and MVRV

Price, STH realized price and STH-MVRV.

Latest daily observationProvisional day
STH Realized Price
$74,318.45
STH-MVRV
1.1094
Bitcoin price
$82,448.31

Observation: UTC. Dataset updated: .
Updated daily, normally at 09:30 Europe/Madrid. Latest hourly bucket starts 2026-10-09 07:00 UTC (hour start).

This day is incomplete and may change. Daily flows accumulate through the latest update; they differ from a single hourly point.

Recent daily values

The last seven closed UTC days. These values remain daily when you change the chart range.

Bitcoin: Short-Term Holder Realized Price and MVRV — daily observations
Date (UTC)STH Realized PriceSTH-MVRVBitcoin price
2026-10-08$74,314.151.0991$81,676.02
2026-10-07$74,337.901.1202$83,274.86
2026-10-06$74,323.061.1511$85,553.52
2026-10-05$74,135.641.1567$85,756.06
2026-10-04$73,938.601.1700$86,510.16
2026-10-03$73,888.081.1470$84,746.87
2026-10-02$73,876.251.1438$84,500.84

Formula

STH Realized Price = Σ(unspent young BTC × price at creation) / Σ(unspent young BTC). STH-MVRV = Bitcoin price / STH Realized Price.

How to read it

Realized price estimates the cost basis of coins younger than 155 days using their last on-chain movement. MVRV above 1 means market price exceeds that estimate; below 1 means it falls below it.

Limitations

  • The estimate uses hourly candle prices for the recent segment and daily prices in the earlier segment identified in the source note. It is not a record of investors' actual purchase prices.
  • On-chain movements include transfers between an owner's own wallets. They do not establish actual purchases, sales or investor identity.
  • The latest day is provisional. Data is updated daily; hourly resolution does not mean hourly publication.

Historical examples

Selected mechanically: the lowest and highest closed-day STH Realized Price in the available history (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-08). These are observations, not forecasts or trading signals.

Lowest observed

2023-01-11

STH Realized Price: $17,812.14.

Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $17,833.71. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.

Highest observed

2025-10-09

STH Realized Price: $114,005.55.

Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $121,695.00. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.

Download these closed daily observations (JSON)

Source: Computed from the chain (BigQuery public dataset crypto_bitcoin), hourly resolution. Price source: Bitstamp BTC/USD hourly candles. rows before 2025-10-06 computed with daily prices (Coin Metrics); hourly prices from then on Methodology and sources.