2026-09-21
STH Supply in Loss: 0 BTC.
Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $86,586.52. This counts outputs rather than distinct investors; wallet transfers can change cohort membership.
BTC: Short-Term Holder Supply in Loss
Young coins whose acquisition price is above the current price.
Latest daily observationProvisional day
- STH Supply in Loss
- 1,179,902.189 BTC
- Bitcoin price
- $82,181.97
Observation: UTC. Dataset updated: .
Updated daily, normally at 09:30 Europe/Madrid. Latest hourly bucket starts 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC (hour start).
This day is incomplete and may change. Daily flows accumulate through the latest update; they differ from a single hourly point.
Data cross-checked. Computed by the same pipeline as the STH realized price, MVRV and SOPR, which are cross-checked daily against an independent on-chain data provider (realized price: median difference 0.47% over 1,375 days (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-15); 95% of days within 1.96%); internal identity checks (supply in profit + supply in loss = supply) pass every day. Checked 2026-10-22. Data status
Recent daily values
The last seven closed UTC days. These values remain daily when you change the chart range.
| Date (UTC) | STH Supply in Loss | Bitcoin price |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 415,096.536 BTC | $84,023.24 |
| 2026-10-20 | 764,645.846 BTC | $82,946.03 |
| 2026-10-19 | 1,106,167.578 BTC | $81,840.01 |
| 2026-10-18 | 965,682.014 BTC | $82,001.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | 1,311,940.531 BTC | $81,384.63 |
| 2026-10-16 | 1,402,492.047 BTC | $81,501.10 |
| 2026-10-15 | 946,576.277 BTC | $82,131.10 |
Formula
STH Supply in Loss = Σ(BTC in young creation-day buckets whose remaining average acquisition price is at or above current price).
How to read it
This is the portion of young supply classified in loss under the daily-bucket approximation. It describes the current cohort, not how long a drawdown will last or whether a rebound will follow.
Limitations
- The implementation includes break-even buckets in this category. Classification uses daily bucket averages and is approximate; it is not equivalent to an entity-adjusted series.
- On-chain movements include transfers between an owner's own wallets. They do not establish actual purchases, sales or investor identity.
- The latest day is provisional. Data is updated daily; hourly resolution does not mean hourly publication.
Historical examples
Selected mechanically: the lowest and highest closed-day STH Supply in Loss in the available history (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-21). These are observations, not forecasts or trading signals.
2026-02-12
STH Supply in Loss: 5,718,762.009 BTC.
Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $66,207.00. This counts outputs rather than distinct investors; wallet transfers can change cohort membership.
Download these closed daily observations (JSON)
Source: Computed from the chain (BigQuery public dataset crypto_bitcoin), hourly resolution. Price source: Bitstamp BTC/USD hourly candles. rows before 2025-10-06 computed with daily prices (Coin Metrics); hourly prices from then on Methodology and sources.