2026-02-05
STH-MVRV: 0.6762.
Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $62,795.00. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.
BTC: STH MVRV regimes
Price shaded by departures from the 155-day MVRV mean.
Latest daily observationProvisional day
- STH-MVRV
- 1.0984
- 155-day mean
- 1.0027
- +1σ line
- 1.1098
- −1σ line
- 0.8956
- Bitcoin price
- $82,181.97
Observation: UTC. Dataset updated: .
Updated daily, normally at 09:30 Europe/Madrid. Latest hourly bucket starts 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC (hour start).
This day is incomplete and may change. Daily flows accumulate through the latest update; they differ from a single hourly point.
Data cross-checked. Derived from STH-MVRV, which is cross-checked daily against an independent on-chain data provider: median difference 0.53% over 1,384 days (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-15); 95% of days within 2.07%. Checked 2026-10-22. Data status
Recent daily values
The last seven closed UTC days. These values remain daily when you change the chart range.
| Date (UTC) | STH-MVRV | 155-day mean | +1σ line | −1σ line | Bitcoin price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 1.1228 | 1.0020 | 1.1088 | 0.8952 | $84,023.24 |
| 2026-10-20 | 1.1104 | 1.0011 | 1.1074 | 0.8947 | $82,946.03 |
| 2026-10-19 | 1.0965 | 1.0002 | 1.1062 | 0.8942 | $81,840.01 |
| 2026-10-18 | 1.0996 | 0.9995 | 1.1053 | 0.8938 | $82,001.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | 1.0915 | 0.9988 | 1.1043 | 0.8934 | $81,384.63 |
| 2026-10-16 | 1.0925 | 0.9983 | 1.1034 | 0.8931 | $81,501.10 |
| 2026-10-15 | 1.1014 | 0.9979 | 1.1028 | 0.8929 | $82,131.10 |
Formula
Thresholds = SMA155(STH-MVRV) ± population standard deviation over the same 155-day window.
How to read it
Green shading marks MVRV above the upper band; red shading marks MVRV below the lower band. The bands describe relative profitability, not observed buying or selling.
Limitations
- The chart uses 155 daily points or 155 × 24 hourly points depending on range. Daily and hourly bands may differ; the table and examples always use daily observations.
- On-chain movements include transfers between an owner's own wallets. They do not establish actual purchases, sales or investor identity.
- The latest day is provisional. Data is updated daily; hourly resolution does not mean hourly publication.
Historical examples
Selected mechanically: the lowest and highest closed-day STH-MVRV in the available history (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-21). These are observations, not forecasts or trading signals.
2024-03-04
STH-MVRV: 1.4314.
Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $68,091.84. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.
Download these closed daily observations (JSON)
Source: Computed from the chain (BigQuery public dataset crypto_bitcoin), hourly resolution. Price source: Bitstamp BTC/USD hourly candles. rows before 2025-10-06 computed with daily prices (Coin Metrics); hourly prices from then on Methodology and sources.