black almanak open on-chain metrics ● data

BTC: Short-Term Holder Supply in Profit

Bitcoin BTC

Young coins whose acquisition price is below the current price.

Latest daily observationProvisional day
STH Supply in Profit
2,525,561.267 BTC
Bitcoin price
$82,181.97

Observation: UTC. Dataset updated: .
Updated daily, normally at 09:30 Europe/Madrid. Latest hourly bucket starts 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC (hour start).

This day is incomplete and may change. Daily flows accumulate through the latest update; they differ from a single hourly point.

Data cross-checked. Computed by the same pipeline as the STH realized price, MVRV and SOPR, which are cross-checked daily against an independent on-chain data provider (realized price: median difference 0.47% over 1,375 days (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-15); 95% of days within 1.96%); internal identity checks (supply in profit + supply in loss = supply) pass every day. Checked 2026-10-22. Data status

Recent daily values

The last seven closed UTC days. These values remain daily when you change the chart range.

BTC: Short-Term Holder Supply in Profit — daily observations
Date (UTC)STH Supply in ProfitBitcoin price
2026-10-213,300,614.05 BTC$84,023.24
2026-10-202,950,405.4 BTC$82,946.03
2026-10-192,599,236.366 BTC$81,840.01
2026-10-182,728,105.791 BTC$82,001.58
2026-10-172,379,393.668 BTC$81,384.63
2026-10-162,316,575.174 BTC$81,501.10
2026-10-152,770,814.342 BTC$82,131.10

Formula

STH Supply in Profit = Σ(BTC in young creation-day buckets whose remaining average acquisition price is below current price).

How to read it

This is the portion of young supply classified in profit under the daily-bucket approximation. Compare it with total young supply to understand its size; a high share does not predict an imminent sale.

Limitations

  • All remaining coins created on one day are classified using that bucket's average cost. Coins within the day can have different acquisition prices, so the classification is approximate.
  • On-chain movements include transfers between an owner's own wallets. They do not establish actual purchases, sales or investor identity.
  • The latest day is provisional. Data is updated daily; hourly resolution does not mean hourly publication.

Historical examples

Selected mechanically: the lowest and highest closed-day STH Supply in Profit in the available history (2023-01-01 to 2026-10-21). These are observations, not forecasts or trading signals.

Lowest observed

2024-08-05

STH Supply in Profit: 0 BTC.

Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $54,343.63. This counts outputs rather than distinct investors; wallet transfers can change cohort membership.

Highest observed

2025-01-21

STH Supply in Profit: 5,023,294.932 BTC.

Bitcoin price in the same daily row: $105,987.89. This counts outputs rather than distinct investors; wallet transfers can change cohort membership.

Download these closed daily observations (JSON)

Source: Computed from the chain (BigQuery public dataset crypto_bitcoin), hourly resolution. Price source: Bitstamp BTC/USD hourly candles. rows before 2025-10-06 computed with daily prices (Coin Metrics); hourly prices from then on Methodology and sources.