2026-05-13
1M Realized Volatility: 48.29%.
HYPE price in the same daily row: $38.89. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.
HYPE: Realized Volatility (All)
Hyperliquid HYPE
Annualized volatility of HYPE's daily returns over windows from one week to one year, with the HYPE price.
Latest daily observationClosed day
- 1M Realized Volatility
- 51.23%
- 1W Realized Volatility
- 42.85%
- 2W Realized Volatility
- 45.95%
- 3M Realized Volatility
- 71.23%
- 6M Realized Volatility
- 84.35%
- 1Y Realized Volatility
- 90.05%
- 1M Volatility vs BTC (x)
- 1.9673
- HYPE price
- $77.26
Observation: UTC. Dataset updated: .
Updated daily, normally at 09:30 Europe/Madrid. Daily resolution.
Data cross-checked. Computed from the validated daily HYPE/USD close (annualized standard deviation of daily log returns) and, for the ratio, the validated daily BTC/USD close. BTC price: cross-checked against Bitstamp daily BTC/USD close (independent exchange) (median difference 0.15% over 5,545 days (2011-08-18 to 2026-10-22); 95% of days within 1.78%). HYPE price: Coin Metrics Community Data, cross-checked daily against Bitstamp daily HYPE/USD close (independent exchange): median difference 0.15% over 331 days (2025-11-25 to 2026-10-21); 95% of days within 1.05%; the HYPE/USDC spot market on Hyperliquid itself: median difference 0.20% over 678 days (2024-12-13 to 2026-10-21); 95% of days within 0.93%. Checked 2026-10-23. Data status
Recent daily values
The last seven closed UTC days. These values remain daily when you change the chart range.
| Date (UTC) | 1M Realized Volatility | 1W Realized Volatility | 2W Realized Volatility | 3M Realized Volatility | 6M Realized Volatility | 1Y Realized Volatility | 1M Volatility vs BTC (x) | HYPE price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 51.23% | 42.85% | 45.95% | 71.23% | 84.35% | 90.05% | 1.9673 | $77.26 |
| 2026-10-21 | 51.56% | 32.15% | 46.87% | 70.62% | 84.09% | 89.95% | 2.2302 | $80.68 |
| 2026-10-20 | 51.52% | 32.50% | 49.31% | 70.86% | 84.10% | 90.23% | 1.6198 | $80.39 |
| 2026-10-19 | 51.76% | 29.93% | 47.85% | 71.05% | 84.08% | 90.23% | 1.6407 | $79.23 |
| 2026-10-18 | 51.65% | 51.22% | 53.94% | 71.35% | 84.20% | 90.25% | 1.6359 | $78.86 |
| 2026-10-17 | 60.82% | 51.81% | 54.03% | 71.45% | 84.28% | 90.31% | 1.6281 | $77.89 |
| 2026-10-16 | 66.65% | 52.89% | 53.51% | 71.19% | 84.15% | 90.34% | 1.7862 | $80.18 |
Formula
Vol_N = sample standard deviation of the last N daily log returns ln(close_t / close_t−1) × √365, for N = 7, 14, 30, 90, 180 and 365 calendar days (1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y). HYPE trades every day, so a year counts 365 returns. Ratio vs BTC = HYPE Vol_30 / BTC Vol_30 over the same 30 days. A value is shown only when every close of its window exists.
How to read it
Realized volatility measures how strongly HYPE's price has actually swung from day to day, expressed as a yearly figure. A reading of 80% means that daily swings of the size seen in the window, kept up for a year, would add up to a typical yearly move of about 80% in either direction (one standard deviation). It says nothing about the direction.
Each line looks back over a different window. The thin grey 1-week line reacts to single days and jumps around; the 1-month line is the main reading; the 3-month, 6-month and 1-year lines move slowly and show the longer regime. When the short lines climb above the long ones, the market has recently been more turbulent than usual; when they drop below, it has calmed down. The table and downloads also carry the 2-week window and HYPE's 1-month volatility divided by Bitcoin's over the same days.
Volatility only looks back: it describes swings that have already happened, not the ones to come, and it treats rises and falls alike.
Limitations
- Glassnode builds its version from its own price aggregated across many exchanges; ours uses one reference close per day (Coin Metrics, 00:00 UTC). Swings inside a day are not counted, and readings can differ by a few points from other providers.
- Recomputed with the same formula on Hyperliquid's own HYPE/USDC spot closes, the 1M line differs from ours by 1.7 points at the median (4.6 at the 95th percentile) and the 1Y line by 1.3 points (1.7); that single venue reads 0.6 to 1.3 points higher at the median. The 1W and 2W lines rest on a handful of days and can differ by 10 points or more in hectic weeks.
- History starts on 2024-12-13, HYPE's first daily close in our price source. Each line starts once its window is full: the 1M line on 2025-01-12, the 6M line on 2025-06-11 and the 1Y line only on 2025-12-13.
- Scaling by √365 assumes that daily swings are independent of each other. In strongly trending or choppy periods the yearly figure is a rough scale, not a forecast.
Historical examples
Selected mechanically: the lowest and highest closed-day 1M Realized Volatility in the available history (2025-01-12 to 2026-10-22). These are observations, not forecasts or trading signals.
2025-01-12
1M Realized Volatility: 171.52%.
HYPE price in the same daily row: $21.15. This is a descriptive reference point in this dataset; it does not establish a market top, bottom or future return.
Download these closed daily observations (JSON)
Source: Computed by Black Almanak from the validated daily HYPE/USD close (annualized standard deviation of daily log returns) and, for the ratio, the validated daily BTC/USD close. Price source: Coin Metrics Community Data, HYPE (CC BY-NC 4.0). Daily history since 2024-12-13, HYPE's first daily close; each window starts once it is full: 1W on 2024-12-20, 2W on 2024-12-27, 1M on 2025-01-12, 3M on 2025-03-13, 6M on 2025-06-11, 1Y on 2025-12-13. Methodology and sources.